Peter C. Earle

Economics

How to Prove Economists Wrong About Tariffs: Never Do What You Threatened

On and shortly after Liberation Day, economists warned that tariffs would raise prices, snarl supply chains, and cut into economic…

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Economics

Gold’s Acceleration Reveals Vanishing Calm, Coming Change

Gold has crossed $4,000 per ounce just 200 days after it passed $3,000. What began as a slow march from…

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Economics

Housing’s Deep Freeze: Existing Home Sales at 25-Year Lows

The American housing market is no stranger to boom and bust cycles, but the current slowdown in existing home sales…

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Economics

Is Abandoning Quarterly Earnings Report Requirements a Good Idea?

President Donald Trump recently revived a proposal he first raised during his earlier time in office: eliminating the requirement for…

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Economics

Business Conditions Monthly July 2025

AIER’s Business Conditions Monthly indicators for July 2025 point to a reversal of last month’s momentum and a rebalancing across…

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Economics

Commercial Mortgage Delinquencies Now Surpass 2008 Financial Crisis Peak

In November 2024, US commercial mortgage delinquencies spiked to 10.4 percent, a level just below the 10.7 percent peak during…

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Economics

AIER’s Everyday Price Index Rises 0.21 Percent in August 2025

Peter C. Earle The AIER Everyday Price Index (EPI) rose 0.21 percent to 296.7 in August 2025. Our proprietary inflation…

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Economics

Escape from New York, 2025 Millionaire Edition

For decades, New York City prided itself on being the financial capital of the world. It’s a place where money,…

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Economics

Money Isn’t a Measuring Stick — It’s a Messenger

Although conversations between economists are essential — sharpening our thinking, challenging assumptions, and refining concepts — it’s easy to forget…

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Economics

Economic Measurement and the Mirage of Exactness

In contentious political environments, economic data rarely stand as objective measures. They are transformed into talking points and wielded to…

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